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Psychology of Trading
If you gave the perfect system to 100 people, less than 10 would
actually make money. This is because most people fail owing to
the fact that they cannot stick to the rules; they continually
second guess themselves or they simply have an unconscious urge
to self-destruct! Unless you believe and take these facts
seriously, it is unlikely that you will be among the winners. If
you have already done some trading, you’ll know this to be true
(even if you’re not prepared to admit it) but if you are a
complete beginner then take it from me – when you actually start
trading, your emotions will be struggling to rule your head.
Yes, it’s exciting, adrenaline pumping stuff. In order to
succeed, you have to reach the stage where it becomes almost a
boring business! It’s a good job that we only need actually
trade a few minutes a day with Rich Lazy trader, otherwise it
would either be far too stressful. When your own real money is
at stake, it becomes quite different from trading with play
money or paper trading.
It is said that 95% fail at trading and the reason for this
is little to do with systems or money management. The reason
most people fail is because they lack the necessary subconscious
belief structure to leave the world of 9-5 job mentality and
become financially independent. It’s obvious you couldn’t take
the average shop assistant and make them a successful managing
director of a big multi-national company but people imagine you
can take an ‘average’ person and turn them into a successful
trader!
If you have any kind of experience of life and if you’ve
learnt anything from it, you will have to admit that our
emotions usually get the better of our heads. So, we start
trading with a known weakness. In addition, to trade
successfully, we have to go against our natural reaction, which
is to quickly pocket any profit and do nothing about mounting
losses, in the hope that the market will do an about turn.
Trading is rather like riding one of those trick bicycles where
the handlebars are rigged so they turn the bike in the opposite
direction! You have to reprogram your natural instincts if you
don’t want keep crashing. More importantly, you have to
reprogram your subconscious and I would very strongly suggest
you get
Success For Traders and read
it!
Much has been written about the fact that fear and greed
moves the markets in the short term. Sadly, greed makes us close
the trade with less profit and fear makes us hang on to our
losses – quite illogical.
One of the greatest books about trading is Jack Schwager’s
‘Market Wizards’ and his follow up, ‘The New Market Wizards’, in
which he interviews numerous successful traders and questions
them about their success. I think everyone should read at least
the first book for several reasons. Firstly, it will convince
you that consistent profits are possible in trading, secondly,
it will give you an insight into the minds of successful traders
and thirdly, it contains a lot of useful stuff about the
psychology of trading.
In particular, there is an interview with Dr Van K Tharp, a
research psychologist who has investigated what brings success
or failure in trading and devised a system for improving the
results of traders. He states that in the minds of the great
traders; money is not important; it is OK to lose; trading is a
game; mental rehearsal is important and that they believe
they’ve won the game before they start!
Ed Seykota, who developed the first computerized trading
software and who turned $5,000 into over $12,000,000 in 16
years, eloquently describes how all traders actually get what
they want out of the market – even the losers. I used to be a
psychologist specializing in hypnosis, so I know a thing or two
about the subconscious mind. The first thing to grasp is that we
can know nothing about our subconscious because, by definition,
it is beneath our awareness. Once we discover something, it is
no longer in our subconscious mind. The second thing to grasp is
that the subconscious exerts a powerful force on our lives and
many of ‘our’ decisions are not really ours at all, but those
forced on us by our subconscious. Many, many of us have
completely hidden traumas from childhood deep within our
subconscious and these nag away and cause permanent low-level
stress and feelings of unworthiness. If you understand this, it
is easy to appreciate that many people don’t really want to
succeed and somehow find a way to screw up. Trading provides the
perfect opportunity.
That is just another reason why we must have a clearly
defined set of rules and stick to them. The problem is, the
market is always throwing up new scenarios and no rules can
cover every possibility. Because of this, we have to use some
judgement and it becomes all too easy to find a reason to break
the rules by closing trades early, by refusing a signal because
it looks risky, by hanging on to a losing trade because ‘we
thought it was going to turn around’, and so on. Again, Rich
Lazy Trader avoids most of this...
Even I still do it – even with all my experience, even
knowing and understanding a great deal about psychology, even
after I’ve seen the methods of my system produce winner after
winner, even after the statistics prove beyond any doubt that
following the rules makes you rich!
The difference between the winners and the losers is simply
how closely we follow rules and common sense and how little we
allow our personal psychology and emotion to get in the way of
trading. It is extremely difficult, uncomfortable and even
painful to go against our psychology. Let me give you an example
everyone will understand. How many times in your life have you
planned to go up to that woman (or man) and say the things you
want to say? How many times have you planned to unload your mind
on your boss? When it comes to actually doing things like this,
so easy in our daydreams as we plot our strategy, we find that
we are often quite unable to put it into practice!
It’s just the same in trading. We know that when the Rich
Lazy trader signal comes on our chart, we should place the
trade. But, something tells us that this is one of the times
when it’s a bad trade and we find several excuses not to trade.
Ten points past the signal, we realise we were wrong and
deliberate whether to enter the trade as a latecomer. The market
retraces and perhaps we feel that our initial decision not to
trade was correct and that the market is going to go in the
opposite direction. If we allow our justifications and excuses
to get the better of us we may even find that we’ve opened a
trade in the opposite direction.
You need to watch very carefully what mistakes you habitually
make. Do you fail to take the trade at the signal? Do you close
the trade too early? Do you fail to close the trade and take a
small profit when the signals tell you the trade has become too
risky? Do you let your losses get too big in the hope of a turn
around? Do you chicken out of the trade as soon as you’re a few
points down? These are the common mistakes and you can correct
them if you are aware of them and apply a little will power and
self-discipline.
You need to set yourself trading goals. It’s easy turning up
for work in a regular job – everybody does it and we’ve been
indoctrinated since childhood to do it. Working for yourself, by
yourself, is another matter. You’ll be at home and home is
associated with leisure and with a hundred easily available
distractions. For these reasons, you have to make a definite
plan to spend time trading. A quick glance at the chart will
tell you whether a signal is imminent or not. It’s easy to miss
a signal and if you find this happening often, then you should
ask yourself if this is a deep-seated fear of trading. Perhaps
you don’t really want to trade? Well, I never really wanted to
work, but I did! You can overcome this sort of problem if you
put your mind to it, but trading just makes some people unhappy.
How much do you really want to succeed? It’s all right, you
know, to admit that trading is not for you!
By setting goals financially and time wise, you can
substantially increase your chances of success. You also have to
think about whether to tell your friends and relatives what you
are doing and if you do tell them, do you tell them about your
successes and failures? Think carefully before deciding. There
are pros and cons on both sides.
If you have a long run of failed trades, then it may be
better to take a few days off and, when you return, to only
trade at half your normal value per point. Reduce your fear of
losing and you may start winning again. For some people the road
to success is a long and painful one.
Never day trade or scalp when you are stressed or upset in
anyway – you will likely mess up! Discipline and mastery of your
emotions often means not trading at all. Learn not to become
euphoric when you win nor despondent when you lose – stay
balanced.
By way of encouragement, I can only stress that the methods
of Rich Lazy trader we use are well proven to work, so follow
them carefully . Almost nobody succeeds at trading straight
away, regardless of the system they may use. Success requires
tremendous discipline and persistence and a true desire to
overcome all the obstacles that are most certainly stacked up
against us.
Believe that it is possible. A positive attitude has concrete
effects. For those of you who realise the importance of working
on creating a positive attitude and effectively opening the
pathway to the ‘future you’ who is already a success (after all,
an infinite number of universes exists and in one of them you
must indeed be a great trader!). The method to achieve this is
covered in
Success For Traders and is
really the missing link that can turn losing traders into
profitable traders.
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